Increases in COVID-19 are unrelated to levels of vaccination across 68 countries and 2947 counties in the United States

The world of academia is now reporting what many of us have been voicing for several months. We have all shared tweets and posts about breakout cases and cases in general on the rise. We have also witnessed how they blamed the unvaccinated. I have looked at literally millions of rows of COVID case data if I could not see how the unvaccinated be responsible for the numbers of cases we were seeing in countries like Israel, the US, and Canada. Basic math tells us that with the number of people yet to be vaccinated and given the odds of catching COVID, there is no mathematical way it could be possible. I knew it was just a matter of time a University study would find the same thing as I did and reported back in August. 

So now we have this Harvard report that says vaccines currently are the primary mitigation strategy to combat COVID-19. The report investigated the relationship between the percentage of the population fully vaccinated and new COVID cases across 68 countries and 2947 counties across the US. They also observed that many argued that areas with low vaccination rates were responsible for the ongoing surge of new cases. The sudden rise in cases was also seen in Germany, the United Kingdom, and Israel, which I posted on. Each of these countries was hailed for its quick and high vaccination rates. Now in recent weeks, each has seen a substantial resurgence in COVID

cases. The study computed the number and percentages of counties that experienced an increase in COVID-19 cases by levels of the percentage of people fully vaccinated. The percentage increase in COVID cases was calculated based on the difference in cases from the last 7 days and the 7 days preceding them. 

The findings were as follows:

“At the country-level, there

appears to be no discernable relationship between the percentage of the population fully vaccinated and new COVID-19 cases in the last 7 days (Fig. 1). In fact, the trend line suggests a marginally positive association such that countries with a higher percentage of the population fully vaccinated have higher COVID-19 cases per 1 million people. Notably, Israel with over 60% of their population fully vaccinated had the highest COVID-19 cases per 1 million people in the last 7 days. The lack of a meaningful”

Since complete immunity from the vaccine takes about two weeks after the second dose, they conducted sensitivity analyses using a one-month lag on the percentage of the fully vaccinated population for countries. 

Then their study makes a point that will make politicians quake in their boots. The sole reliance on vaccination as a primary strategy to mitigate COVID-19 and its adverse consequences needs to be re-examined, especially considering the Delta (B.1.617.2) variant and the likelihood of future variants. Other pharmacological and non-pharmacological interventions may need to be put in place alongside increasing vaccination rates. I like every part of this part except the last part, where they recommend increasing vaccinations rates. I find this kind of a disjointed statement since, based on what they observed, there is no point unless a new vaccine that works more effectively can be found. 

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